Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.480 | $0.77 | 22d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 2.7 |
| $0.300 |
| $0.81 |
| 22d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.880 | $1.06 | 22d ago |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.966 | $1.09 | 22d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.953 | $1.12 | 22d ago |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.228 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.090 | $0.26 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 4.54 | $0.440 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.339 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.009 | $0.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.968 | $1.01 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.833 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.365 | $5.21 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |