Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
thoas has made $943.21 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:04 PM UTC.
$3.75 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Oct 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5.26 | $0.871 | $4.5 | -$0.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | 3h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-10 08:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:04 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-10 08:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.87K and losing ones cost $888.35 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $356.65 on “Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $180.84 on “Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 169 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.8 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 5.22 |
| $0.767 |
| $4.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | Yes | 4.4 | $0.910 | $3.98 | -$0.02 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 4.6 | $0.870 | $3.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 4.81 | $0.686 | $3.43 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.630 | $1.73 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 4.44 |
| $0.966 |
| $4.29 |
| 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes | sell | 4.21 | $0.980 | $4.13 | 3h ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.850 | $1.4 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.968 | $5.14 | 14h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | 14h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.961 | $4.57 | 16h ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.880 | $3.17 | 2d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | buy | 4.81 | $0.686 | $3.3 | 2d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.95 | $0.916 | $6.37 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.948 | $1.1 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.630 | $1.7 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.767 | $4 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4 | 3d ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?No | sell | 12.81 | $0.640 | $8.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.640 | $5.57 | 3d ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?No | buy | 21.53 | $0.340 | $7.32 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 14.87 | $0.155 | $2.31 | 4d ago |
 Paris curfew by October 19?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.852 | $4.26 | 4d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 19?No | sell | 5 | $0.149 | $0.75 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 14.87 | $0.269 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.764 | $4.15 | 4d ago |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.306 | $1.17 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | sell | 3.76 | $0.608 | $2.29 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.802 | $2.1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 9.76 | $0.217 | $2.12 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.755 | $3.7 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.541 | $3.75 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.409 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.975 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.758 | $4.12 | 4d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.870 | $2.99 | 4d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 19?No | buy | 5 | $0.707 | $3.53 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.950 | $0.57 | 4d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?No | sell | 12.22 | $0.090 | $1.1 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?No | buy | 42.22 | $0.090 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 19?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.320 | $2.67 | 5d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 19?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.300 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 19?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.231 | $2.77 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.974 | $4 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?No | sell | 22.09 | $0.170 | $3.76 | 5d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.