Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $5.15 | +$2.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.030 | $1.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.8 |
| $0.320 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.53 |
 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 23.41 | $0.430 | $1.05 | -$9.01 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 0.99 | $0.650 | $0.78 | +$0.13 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.650 | $0.52 | -$0.07 |
 Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 0.59 | $0.590 | $0.36 | +$0.01 |
 Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | No | 0.61 | $0.380 | $0.27 | +$0.04 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 0.28 | $0.590 | $0.22 | +$0.06 |
 Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title? | No | 0.14 | $0.510 | $0.14 | +$0.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.254 | $0.14 | -$0.1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.640 | $0.11 | -$0.37 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | No | 2 | $0.120 | $0.09 | -$0.15 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.070 | $0.08 | +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | Yes | 0.7 | $0.320 | $0.08 | -$0.14 |
 Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | Yes | 30 | $0.093 | $0.07 | -$2.72 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.488 | $0.05 | -$0.13 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.150 | $0.04 | -$0.06 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | Yes | 0.54 | $0.120 | $0.03 | -$0.03 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.113 | $0 | -$0.11 |
 Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.097 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.021 |
| $0.17 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.040 | $0.1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.040 | $0.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.040 | $0.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.062 | $1.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.200 | $15.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 8.89 | $0.090 | $0.8 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.170 | $12.75 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.220 | $5.28 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.110 | $8.25 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.107 | $7.92 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | sell | 18.82 | $0.330 | $6.21 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No | sell | 64 | $0.210 | $13.44 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.161 | $8.05 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?No | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | May 29, 2026 |
| 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6.59 | $0.340 | $2.24 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | sell | 24.97 | $0.020 | $0.5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.102 | $0.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.430 | $5.16 | May 28, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 271.8 | $0.170 | $46.21 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No | sell | 75 | $0.076 | $5.7 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchYes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?No | sell | 60 | $0.040 | $2.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 219.31 | $0.150 | $32.9 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | sell | 35.33 | $0.069 | $2.44 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.070 | $3.22 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.077 | $5.78 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?No | sell | 65.72 | $0.570 | $37.46 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | May 27, 2026 |