Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11.09 | +$0.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.1 |
| $0.990 |
| $10 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 9.95 | $0.959 | $9.54 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.983 | $11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.988 | $9.57 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.830 | $9 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 11.13 | $0.988 | $11 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 108.43 | $0.415 | $45 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Solana above $175 on August 6?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 11.28 | $0.975 | $11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Future Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | buy | 23.02 | $0.999 | $23 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No | buy | 22.07 | $0.997 | $22 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?No | buy | 11.87 | $0.998 | $11.85 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Portugal confidence vote fails today?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 25.07 | $0.991 | $24.85 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 17.52 | $0.994 | $17.41 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 25.08 | $0.997 | $25 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 22.13 | $0.994 | $22 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Magic vs. HawksMagic | buy | 61.36 | $0.530 | $32.52 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Southampton wins the Premier League?No | sell | 4.89K | $0.998 | $4.89K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Southampton wins the Premier League?No | buy | 4.89K | $0.999 | $4.89K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 24.58 | $0.976 | $24 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No | sell | 4.91K | $0.998 | $4.91K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No | buy | 4.91K | $0.999 | $4.91K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.9K | $0.998 | $4.9K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.9K | $0.999 | $4.9K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Megaquake in December?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.950 | $16.19 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 13.57 | $0.958 | $13 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.999 | $29.17 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 12.03 | $0.991 | $11.92 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.988 | $6.15 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?No | buy | 29.15 | $0.987 | $28.77 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Shōgun wins Best Drama Series? - EmmysYes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Mitch vs. Rektober: September PnLRektober | buy | 68.04 | $0.661 | $45 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.968 | $5.89 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?Yes | buy | 48.28 | $0.580 | $28 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 India vs. Sri Lanka - 2nd Cricket ODI MatchSri Lanka | buy | 33.89 | $0.999 | $33.86 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will 'Twisters' gross less than $56m opening weekend?No | buy | 33.86 | $0.999 | $33.83 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Antonio Ecarri Angola Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | sell | 34 | $0.995 | $33.83 | Jul 22, 2024 |