Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:59 AM UTC.
Analytics
wakeupsawly has made $892.6 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:59 AM UTC.
$27.77 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Feb 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.112 | $123.16 | 5d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 10:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 10:59 UTC
polymarket positions
20 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.09K and losing ones cost $176.06 across 18 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $680.91 on “Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $138.93 on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 19 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.1K |
| $0.228 |
| $250 |
| 19d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.157 | $315.21 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.149 | $300 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.870 | $912.6 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.210 | $220 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 369.98 | $0.041 | $15.17 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.041 | $0.28 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 452.44 | $0.041 | $18.55 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.041 | $8.2 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.28 | $0.041 | $0.42 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.047 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | sell | 128.58 | $0.340 | $43.72 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | buy | 128.59 | $0.311 | $40 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 284.38 | $0.647 | $184 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.710 | $92.61 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 372.46 | $0.362 | $134.84 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 372.47 | $0.268 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.240 | $150 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.032 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.150 | $24.45 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.182 | $1.35 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.103 | $5.14 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 633.76 | $0.021 | $13.31 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 633.77 | $0.041 | $26.17 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.62 | $0.802 | $26.18 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.24 | $0.722 | $47.12 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | sell | 47.26 | $0.997 | $47.12 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | buy | 47.27 | $0.820 | $38.76 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.39 | $0.382 | $38.76 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.39 | $0.310 | $31.43 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 115.29 | $0.273 | $31.44 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.28 | $0.255 | $29.37 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 101.12 | $0.225 | $22.78 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.073 | $9.95 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.9 | $0.710 | $19.1 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.9 | $0.710 | $12 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.86 | $0.710 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Grok 4.20 released by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.340 | $18.25 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 188.65 | $0.133 | $25 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 101.12 | $0.297 | $30 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.06 | $0.167 | $4.02 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.35 | $0.478 | $36.97 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.41 | $0.099 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.