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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.047 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.943 | $26.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 31 |
| $0.921 |
| $28.55 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.029 | $0.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.820 | $26.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.460 | $5.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 59 | $0.430 | $25.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.27 | $0.160 | $3.88 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.253 | $3.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.140 | $9.66 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.810 | $28.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.810 | $28.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.954 | $25.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.980 | $25.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.849 | $35.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.088 | $0.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.850 | $36.55 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.860 | $36.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.824 | $20.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.061 | $3.17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.959 | $36.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.986 | $37.47 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 56 | $0.730 | $40.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.440 | $5.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.470 | $5.17 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.977 | $42.01 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.978 | $42.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.982 | $38.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.986 | $38.45 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.030 | $0.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.031 | $2.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 77.81 | $0.047 | $3.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.420 | $37.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.018 | $1.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 33.59 | $0.764 | $25.65 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.782 | $5.47 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.043 | $6.41 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.024 | $0.82 | May 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.920 | $43.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.863 | $47.46 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.034 | $1.05 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.510 | $42.84 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.798 | $12.77 | May 25, 2026 |