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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10.28 | $0.476 | $5.4 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 64.6 | $0.050 | $3.23 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 3.45 |
| $0.290 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.43 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.08 | $0.927 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.19 | $0.841 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | sell | 1.59 | $0.990 | $1.57 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.776 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.459 | $3.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.800 | $1.35 | Jan 3, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.927 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.841 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |