Latest trade
Aug 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
Nik2025 is down $1.18K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 6 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:22 PM UTC.
$387.58 median trade
Its latest 30 trades covered 16 markets; 76.7% were buys. They run from Mar 14, 2025 UTC to Aug 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.67K | $0.327 | $1.67K | -$4.77K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.68K | $0.200 | $935.82 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-21 16:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
30 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:22 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-21 16:19 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.47K and losing ones cost $756.75 across 6 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $735.56 on “Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?” (Yes); the largest loss, $482.76 on “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Aug 2026. It has traded 17 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.59K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 36.13K |
| $0.087 |
| $668.36 |
| -$2.47K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.64K | $0.157 | $546.98 | -$2.22K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.483 | $237.94 | -$762.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.090 | $237.5 | -$212.5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.08K | $0.038 | $158.39 | -$414.82 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.42K | $0.057 | $73.15 | -$233.85 |
| buy |
| 6.13K |
| $0.070 |
| $428.92 |
| Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.64K | $0.160 | $1.22K | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.17K | $0.350 | $4.26K | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.100 | $346.24 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 779.01 | $0.994 | $774.34 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.100 | $1K | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.38 | $0.064 | $7 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.480 | $957.16 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.42K | $0.059 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.483 | $1K | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.053 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.800 | $880 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.532 | $1K | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.270 | $1K | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.932 | $1.04K | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.270 | $300 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.004 | $5.71 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.008 | $17.18 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.140 | $200 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?No | sell | 1K | $0.030 | $30.3 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Mar 26, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.415 | $583.45 | Mar 26, 2025 UTC |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | sell | 778.66 | $0.750 | $584 | Mar 25, 2025 UTC |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 357.23 | $0.650 | $232.2 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 421.44 | $0.640 | $269.72 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.233 | $499.94 | Mar 14, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.