Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 29 Mar 2025 and the low 33.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 66 points up, to 99.1% on 26 Mar 2025. $5.75M traded over the market's life.
123 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 29 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 72.5% |
| 29 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Iddqd | No | 63.44K |
| Silky-Cricketer | No | 54.28K |
| Sashokkkk | No | 48.78K |
| Lukelee | No | 44.54K |
| ArtemK | No | 42.38K |
| Megatron747 | No | 33.03K |
| Outgoing-Rhyme | No | 29.86K |
| bogitheyogi | No | 27.49K |
| kanafumy | No | 25.95K |
| Phenium | No | 19.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, specifically covering energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A general ceasefire agreement which covers all theaters of war will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the ceasefire goes into effect. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine specifically addressing energy infrastructure has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/energy-infrastructure-ceasefire-in-ukraine-in-march
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