Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.740 | $7.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.31 |
| $0.650 |
| $8 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.700 | $10.78 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.770 | $14 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before July?No | buy | 16.32 | $0.459 | $7.49 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 18.46 | $0.650 | $12 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 20.74 | $0.940 | $19.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.630 | $13.07 | May 11, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | buy | 13.06 | $0.770 | $10.06 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.060 | $1.14 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.610 | $6.31 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.630 | $12 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.240 | $1.09 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 17.22 | $0.780 | $13.43 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.994 | $13.43 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 5.58 | $0.830 | $4.63 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | sell | 4.78 | $0.969 | $4.63 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.890 | $4.26 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.964 | $3.24 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 11.16 | $0.987 | $11.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.840 | $2.83 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.880 | $2.83 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.890 | $2.87 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.900 | $2.87 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.860 | $2.75 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.979 | $2.69 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.700 | $2.69 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.950 | $10.61 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.910 | $2.99 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.940 | $5.05 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.780 | $3.99 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 6.59 | $0.900 | $5.93 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.25 | $0.603 | $9.8 | Oct 18, 2024 |