Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 9.87 | $0.963 | $9.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.91 |
| $0.750 |
| $8.93 |
| Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.934 | $9.2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.994 | $7.82 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.988 | $10.19 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will FURIA win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.989 | $9.55 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?No | buy | 8.41 | $0.997 | $8.39 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?Yes | sell | 5.86 | $0.966 | $5.66 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.958 | $5.62 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.992 | $5.61 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 6.65 | $0.977 | $6.5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | sell | 9.82 | $0.771 | $7.57 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?No | sell | 11.83 | $0.060 | $0.71 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.969 | $9.52 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.550 | $6.51 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.999 | $9.05 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.980 | $6.88 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.950 | $8.61 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?Yes | sell | 10.02 | $0.812 | $8.14 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.950 | $7.13 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.979 | $9.81 | May 23, 2025 |
 US-EU trade deal before June?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.950 | $6.92 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 99.8 | $0.471 | $47 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.985 | $10.18 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.960 | $7.13 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 17.43 | $0.989 | $17.24 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.991 | $17.08 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?No | sell | 17.22 | $0.992 | $17.08 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.968 | $16.67 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 16.82 | $0.991 | $16.67 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 16.83 | $0.993 | $16.71 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before inauguration?No | sell | 17.09 | $0.978 | $16.71 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Trump in jail before inauguration?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.985 | $16.84 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 17.75 | $0.949 | $16.84 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.994 | $1.04K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.996 | $1.05K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.965 | $17.13 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 17.18 | $0.997 | $17.13 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 17.18 | $0.998 | $17.15 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.998 | $17.11 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | sell | 22.52 | $0.760 | $17.12 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 22.52 | $0.710 | $15.99 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 16.69 | $0.958 | $15.99 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.7 | $0.923 | $15.41 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.997 | $15.4 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.998 | $15.42 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.998 | $15.42 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.999 | $15.44 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 15.92 | $0.970 | $15.44 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 15.93 | $0.968 | $15.42 | Sep 1, 2024 |