Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
deuce1 has made $1.36K on Polymarket, #68,606 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:45 PM UTC.
$63.84 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Jul 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 421.43 | $0.712 | $339.25 | +$39.25 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?No | sell | 124.67 | $0.709 | $88.33 | 2d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 10:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:45 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 08:44 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.66K and losing ones cost $93.82 across 47 settled positions. 87.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $109.15 on “Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?” (No); the largest loss, $26.01 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET” (Up).
It first traded on 7 Mar 2026 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 57 markets. Its open positions are worth $941.13 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 170.51 |
| $0.586 |
| $156.02 |
| +$56.02 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 158.73 | $0.630 | $148.41 | +$48.41 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 131.58 | $0.760 | $101.97 | +$1.97 |
 Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026? | No | 131.63 | $0.760 | $100.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 196.79 | $0.508 | $95.44 | -$4.56 |
| buy |
| 124.68 |
| $0.401 |
| $50 |
| 8d ago |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | sell | 116.27 | $0.951 | $110.56 | 9d ago |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 131.63 | $0.760 | $100 | 11d ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | 12d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | 13d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | 13d ago |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.47 | $0.984 | $152.06 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes | sell | 223.88 | $0.870 | $194.78 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.47 | $0.647 | $100 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes | buy | 223.88 | $0.670 | $150 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes | buy | 196.79 | $0.508 | $100 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.768 | $20 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 79.03 | $0.756 | $59.74 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.969 | $121.08 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 100.6 | $0.918 | $92.32 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | sell | 275.86 | $0.870 | $240 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | sell | 93.93 | $0.858 | $80.59 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.180 | $25 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.720 | $67.68 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.457 | $46 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 93.93 | $0.532 | $50 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 59.52 | $0.420 | $25 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.983 | $91.02 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.982 | $136.38 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 133.06 | $0.752 | $100 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 178.23 | $0.765 | $136.41 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 30.64 | $0.940 | $28.8 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.940 | $13.16 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.940 | $58.75 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.880 | $151.72 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 178.24 | $0.168 | $30 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.560 | $60 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.860 | $2.47 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | sell | 39.29 | $0.860 | $33.79 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | sell | 59.37 | $0.860 | $51.06 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.