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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 193.71 | $0.986 | $191 | 28d ago |
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| buy |
| 121.71 |
| $0.986 |
| $120 |
| 28d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 167.68 | $0.990 | $166 | 28d ago |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 190.67 | $0.986 | $188 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.991 | $110 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 183.86 | $0.979 | $180 | Jul 15, 2026 |
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 | buy | 157.89 | $0.950 | $150 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 152.59 | $0.983 | $150 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 203.05 | $0.985 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 116.4 | $0.988 | $115 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 152.76 | $0.995 | $152 | May 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 310.86 | $0.965 | $300 | May 17, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 151.62 | $0.989 | $150 | May 17, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 202.22 | $0.989 | $200 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 247.97 | $0.984 | $244 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 201.41 | $0.993 | $200 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 250.77 | $0.973 | $244 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 183.61 | $0.964 | $177 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 187.12 | $0.994 | $186 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?No | buy | 187.7 | $0.991 | $186.01 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 234.58 | $0.989 | $232 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| buy | 404.86 | $0.988 | $400 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?No | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.970 | $14 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | buy | 180.54 | $0.997 | $180 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 240.74 | $0.972 | $234 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 30?No | buy | 404.69 | $0.998 | $404 | Nov 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No | buy | 266.87 | $0.993 | $265 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Yes | buy | 134.08 | $0.970 | $130 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 11?No | buy | 269.99 | $0.993 | $268 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 12?Yes | buy | 120.24 | $0.998 | $120 | Nov 11, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 316.58 | $0.995 | $315 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 70.35 | $0.995 | $70 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 277.72 | $0.990 | $274.94 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 277.72 | $0.965 | $268 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| buy | 110.22 | $0.998 | $110 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 273 | $0.989 | $270 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?No | buy | 113.34 | $0.997 | $113 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.999 | $185 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 4?No | buy | 200.4 | $0.998 | $200 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 16?No | buy | 272 | $0.996 | $271 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 16?No | buy | 115.17 | $0.999 | $115 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?Up | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 240.24 | $0.999 | $240 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?No | buy | 131.99 | $0.992 | $131 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 80.48 | $0.994 | $80 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will the New Democratic Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 40.24 | $0.994 | $40 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high in April?No | buy | 132.26 | $0.998 | $132 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 201.82 | $0.991 | $200 | Mar 5, 2025 |