Latest trade
Sep 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:48 AM UTC.
Analytics
LostThread is down $361.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:48 AM UTC.
$21.88 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 13 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Mar 21, 2026 UTC to Sep 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.840 | $3.4 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-30 11:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:48 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-30 11:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $0.79 and losing ones cost $11.62 across 8 settled positions. 12.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.79 on “US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.46 on “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Sep 2026. It has traded 13 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 419 |
| $0.050 |
| $20.95 |
| Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 527 | $0.050 | $26.35 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 946 | $0.050 | $47.3 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 393 | $0.064 | $25.15 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.062 | $12.4 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.062 | $11.97 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 109.99 | $0.053 | $5.83 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 109.99 | $0.054 | $5.94 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.280 | $40.32 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.290 | $41.76 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: FC Imabari (-2.5)FC Imabari | buy | 414 | $0.030 | $12.42 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: FC Imabari (-2.5)FC Imabari | buy | 496 | $0.030 | $14.88 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 332 | $0.029 | $9.63 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 358 | $0.029 | $10.38 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 452 | $0.029 | $13.11 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | buy | 546 | $0.032 | $17.47 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | buy | 596 | $0.032 | $19.07 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)Ismaily SC | buy | 529 | $0.039 | $20.63 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)Ismaily SC | buy | 577 | $0.039 | $22.5 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.037 | $3.07 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 447 | $0.037 | $16.54 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 562 | $0.037 | $20.79 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 521 | $0.042 | $21.88 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 571 | $0.042 | $23.98 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid | buy | 455 | $0.060 | $27.3 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid | buy | 519 | $0.060 | $31.14 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.050 | $22.5 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 523 | $0.050 | $26.15 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 466 | $0.050 | $23.3 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 507 | $0.050 | $25.35 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffsArcade Esports | buy | 320 | $0.350 | $112 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffsArcade Esports | buy | 305 | $0.350 | $106.75 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | sell | 210 | $0.908 | $190.68 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | buy | 210 | $0.911 | $191.31 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.