Analytics
Resolved Rooster on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rooster at 65.5%. The Arcade Esports side opened at 50.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 21 Mar 2026.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arcade Esports price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Arcade Esports price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nATWROZwWUD | Arcade Esports | 2.51K |
| gELLNWfQ8k | Arcade Esports | 1.57K |
| TastyCheburek | Arcade Esports | 1K |
| VBuLXEb1W5b | Arcade Esports | 950 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Arcade Esports and Rooster in the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 21 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arcade Esports" if Arcade Esports win the match against Rooster. This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win the match against Arcade Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cs2-arc-rstr-2026-03-21
| LostThread | Arcade Esports | 625 |
| BadRange | Arcade Esports | 615 |
| BadSenset | Arcade Esports | 590 |
| Frayed-Grace | Arcade Esports | 128.06 |
| botbotbotbotbotbotbotbotbotbot | Arcade Esports | 96.1 |
| TBEAR7 | Arcade Esports | 88.24 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
