Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $0.33 | -$1.67 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 6.45 |
| $0.620 |
| $4 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38.1 | $0.420 | $16 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.978 | $21.73 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 27.79 | $0.335 | $9.3 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.300 | $8.82 | May 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | sell | 238.23 | $0.017 | $4.04 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.340 | $30 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 134.87 | $0.220 | $29.67 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 158.65 | $0.300 | $47.6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 147.43 | $0.140 | $20.64 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.660 | $36 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.480 | $40 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 311.07 | $0.150 | $46.66 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 48.78 | $0.590 | $28.78 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 172.22 | $0.180 | $31 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 46.67 | $0.750 | $35 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 57.45 | $0.470 | $27 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 138.84 | $0.190 | $26.38 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.465 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 54.05 | $0.280 | $15.13 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.120 | $18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 48.95 | $0.371 | $18.18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 127.69 | $0.130 | $16.6 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 59.58 | $0.336 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 48.96 | $0.409 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |