Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.320 |
| $6.4 |
| Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 278.09 | $0.180 | $50.06 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 675.03 | $0.116 | $78.54 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | sell | 612.48 | $0.230 | $140.87 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 344.82 | $0.620 | $213.79 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | sell | 250.12 | $0.870 | $217.6 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.56 | $0.480 | $29.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 279.68 | $0.143 | $40 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 200.15 | $0.200 | $40 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | sell | 964.66 | $0.023 | $22.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.050 | $86.67 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 218.91 | $0.430 | $94.13 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.189 | $200 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 283.02 | $0.530 | $150 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.510 | $3.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.95 | $0.345 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 117.25 | $0.360 | $42.21 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | buy | 250.13 | $0.800 | $200 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | buy | 964.66 | $0.052 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.580 | $200 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 278.11 | $0.360 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.115 | $200 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Jones vs. MiocicMiocic | buy | 1.17K | $0.170 | $198 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 474.57 | $0.632 | $300 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.927 | $1.5K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.615 | $993.59 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 817.35 | $0.643 | $525.79 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.600 | $607.63 | Sep 18, 2024 |