Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.100 |
| $3 |
| Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | sell | 2.4 | $0.890 | $2.14 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.150 | $4.09 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.056 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.013 | $4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 268.15 | $0.027 | $7.24 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 13.96 | $0.740 | $10.33 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.24 | $0.635 | $30 | Oct 31, 2024 |