Latest trade
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:57 AM UTC.
Analytics
Cobalt Raven 8550 has made $63.6 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-28 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:57 AM UTC.
$17.06 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Jan 8, 2026 UTC to Sep 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 338.98 | $0.590 | $52.54 | -$147.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 75 | $0.120 | $9 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-28 10:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 08:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 08:57 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-28 10:39 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $363.71 and losing ones cost $300.11 across 32 settled positions. 37.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $91 on “US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $80 on “Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Sep 2026. It has traded 39 markets. Its open positions are worth $95.31 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 103.09 |
| $0.194 |
| $16.96 |
| -$3.04 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 75 | $0.120 | $16.13 | +$7.13 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $6.06 | -$3.94 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.73 | -$3.28 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $1.32 | -$3.68 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.012 | $0.58 | -$1.42 |
| buy |
| 103.09 |
| $0.194 |
| $20 |
| Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.880 | $19.12 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.77 | $0.258 | $10 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.220 | $11.58 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 80.97 | $0.617 | $50 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 757.58 | $0.033 | $25 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 711.39 | $0.181 | $128.81 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 374.99 | $0.290 | $108.75 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.010 | $3.75 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.360 | $60 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.166 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 254.06 | $0.315 | $80 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.998 | $27.71 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.998 | $41.58 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.72 | $0.999 | $62.66 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.24 | $0.999 | $124.12 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.73 | $0.319 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.270 | $7.94 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 252.27 | $0.230 | $58.02 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 112.15 | $0.267 | $30 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.266 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 97.1 | $0.031 | $3 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.01 | $0.147 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.750 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.051 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.