Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.006 | $0.02 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.932 |
| $3.73 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.935 | $21.51 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.935 | $25.25 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.922 | $35.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 85.96 | $0.410 | $35.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.390 | $33.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.987 | $37.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 80 | $0.350 | $28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.760 | $34.96 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.750 | $38.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.750 | $38.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 42 | $0.908 | $38.14 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 42 | $0.902 | $37.88 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.944 | $29.26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.100 | $3.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.959 | $32.61 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.959 | $32.61 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.960 | $31.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.963 | $2.89 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 59 | $0.650 | $38.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.044 | $3.26 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.210 | $16.17 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | sell | 24 | $0.995 | $23.88 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.988 | $1.6 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | sell | 23 | $0.989 | $22.75 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.947 | $22.73 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.933 | $22.39 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.989 | $21.76 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | sell | 13 | $0.986 | $12.82 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | buy | 24 | $0.982 | $23.57 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or below on May 12?No | sell | 23 | $0.994 | $22.86 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 23 | $0.985 | $22.66 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 23 | $0.986 | $22.68 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | sell | 6 | $0.972 | $5.83 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.039 | $0.39 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.038 | $0.8 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.013 | $0.51 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.012 | $0.16 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.042 | $1.89 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.013 | $0.3 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 23 | $0.994 | $22.86 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No | sell | 27 | $0.803 | $21.67 | May 9, 2025 |