Analytics
Resolved No on 23 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.6% on 17 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4.6% on 17 May 2025 and the low 0.1% on 23 May 2025. $185.9K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 24, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 May 2025 – 23 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | 4.6% |
| 23 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 178.98K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2.78K |
| BRIGHT | Yes | 1.2K |
| GOku | Yes | 801.73 |
| langfff | Yes | 399.95 |
| Variable-Pen | Yes | 359.96 |
| Highguy369 | Yes | 206.86 |
| Bogdan2407 | Yes | 166.67 |
| fanbingbing | Yes | 149.97 |
| Schnitzelus | Yes | 128.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 16, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-16-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
