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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 7h ago |
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| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $2.39 |
| +$0.39 |
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 2.74 |
| $0.730 |
| $2 |
| 20h ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.709 | $2 | 12d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 28d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 29d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 29d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 30, 2026 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.378 | $1.14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.570 | $2.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |