Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?

economyResolved

No, settled Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$10.5K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 43% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the highest close was 43% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 12% on 31 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 16% on 9 Aug 2026. $10.49K traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 12:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 4 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Aug 2026	43.0%
4 Sep 2026	29.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.57K
Metusalem	Yes	233.41
kennyg1998	Yes	200.8
Forch	Yes	200

10 of 44 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm