Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.984 |
| $1 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.050 | $0.8 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.960 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.920 | $5.06 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.242 | $1.21 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.984 | $5.12 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.982 | $5.01 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 14.18 | $0.946 | $13.41 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 14.18 | $0.947 | $13.43 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.03K | $0.637 | $1.3K | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.639 | $1.3K | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.95 | $0.860 | $6.84 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.910 | $7.91 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.638 | $1.36K | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | Oct 26, 2024 |