Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.15K | $0.013 | $121.5 | +$25.5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 80 |
| $0.500 |
| $66 |
| +$26 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 49.18 | $0.610 | $39.34 | +$9.34 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.84K | $0.034 | $38.32 | -$57.68 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 20.81 | $0.481 | $15.92 | +$5.92 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 22.29 | $0.449 | $14.73 | +$4.73 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 14.87 | $0.673 | $11.6 | +$1.6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 36.59 | $0.410 | $10.43 | -$4.57 |
| buy |
| 34.38 |
| $0.141 |
| $4.85 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 97.17 | $0.103 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 90.09 | $0.111 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.420 | $25.2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 22.29 | $0.449 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 14.87 | $0.673 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 83.19 | $0.798 | $66.39 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.481 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.450 | $6.43 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.581 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 24.51 | $0.204 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 26 | $0.192 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 23.18 | $0.216 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 46.87 | $0.998 | $46.78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 349.43 | $0.057 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 83.2 | $0.721 | $60 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 47.53 | $0.500 | $23.77 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 769.62 | $0.026 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crooked" during Miami address?No | sell | 44.16 | $0.990 | $43.72 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodríguez" during Miami address?No | sell | 0.75 | $0.990 | $0.74 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.986 | $25.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 7+ times during Miami address?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.990 | $30.01 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 47.54 | $0.568 | $27 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodríguez" during Miami address?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Miami address?Yes | buy | 32.53 | $0.154 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crooked" during Miami address?No | buy | 44.17 | $0.453 | $20 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 7+ times during Miami address?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 100.06 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 63.96 | $0.999 | $63.9 | Mar 8, 2026 |