Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.094 | $14.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.227 |
| $22.71 |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.621 | $62.09 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?No | buy | 179.27 | $0.279 | $50 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.280 | $200 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101K and $102K on May 23?Yes | buy | 573.44 | $0.087 | $50 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $103K on May 23?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 23?Yes | buy | 469.89 | $0.106 | $50 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?Yes | buy | 483.94 | $0.103 | $50 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101000 and $103000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 195.13 | $0.256 | $50 | May 9, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?Up | sell | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | May 9, 2025 |
 Nuggets vs. ThunderNuggets | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?Down | buy | 130.43 | $0.230 | $30 | May 8, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.710 | $21.51 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?Yes | buy | 321.52 | $0.156 | $50 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?Yes | buy | 325.62 | $0.154 | $50 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.150 | $53.57 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.920 | $183.99 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 278.89 | $0.179 | $50 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.180 | $200 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?Down | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?Down | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 169.23 | $0.140 | $23.69 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 23?Down | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?Down | buy | 68.18 | $0.220 | $15 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?Up | sell | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 22?Up | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?Up | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.190 | $42.22 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?No | buy | 2.94K | $0.017 | $50 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.060 | $10.91 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.160 | $22.86 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 169.23 | $0.118 | $20 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.165 | $20 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?Yes | buy | 263.02 | $0.114 | $30 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Apr 18, 2025 |