Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 19.5% on 3 May 2025 and the low 1.6% on 8 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 1.6% on 8 May 2025. $396.99K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 May 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 19.5% |
| 8 May 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 126.96K |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 2.76K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2.22K |
| Reclaimer | Yes | 623.98 |
| Libcan212 | Yes | 78.95 |
| Rapid Summit B776 | Yes | 62.5 |
| jsx-118 | Yes | 52.63 |
| Gambastylr | Yes | 37.5 |
| hasanerdem4 | Yes | 30 |
| kytrth | Yes | 12.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 9, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-2-9
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