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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 371.83 | $0.970 | $360.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 371.83 |
| $0.281 |
| $104.6 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 588.23 | $0.066 | $38.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | sell | 103.19 | $0.990 | $102.16 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 95.54 | $0.215 | $20.55 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 95.54 | $0.209 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.040 | $70.12 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?Yes | sell | 355 | $0.150 | $53.25 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| US civil war in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.057 | $100 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Venezuela" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 63.75 | $0.157 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Venezuela" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 69.92 | $0.124 | $8.66 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Bitcoin hits $80k before election?Yes | buy | 966.42 | $0.120 | $115.97 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 172 | $0.220 | $37.84 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 690.03 | $0.145 | $100 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.017 | $30.09 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 3.58 | $0.930 | $3.33 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.930 | $102.3 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.033 | $61.32 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.605 | $60.5 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 678.26 | $0.221 | $150 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.200 | $21 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before November?Yes | buy | 263.43 | $0.390 | $102.74 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 192.36 | $0.190 | $36.55 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.440 | $60.5 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | sell | 80 | $0.650 | $52 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?Yes | buy | 852.5 | $0.020 | $17.05 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 768.7 | $0.007 | $5.38 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.007 | $2.5 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.007 | $8.14 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.022 | $45.95 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.605 | $84.7 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.055 | $55 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes | buy | 518.22 | $0.193 | $100 | Sep 10, 2024 |