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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.27 | $0.890 | $4.93 | +$0.24 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.950 | $3.59 | 18d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.71 |
| $0.918 |
| $4.6 |
| +$0.28 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.96 | $0.979 | $2.96 | +$0.06 |
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.972 |
| $1 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?Yes | sell | 2.34K | $0.998 | $2.34K | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.996 | $597.6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.870 | $2.43 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 4.16 | $0.850 | $3.54 | May 13, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.910 | $3.44 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.962 | $1.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.910 | $2.99 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.979 | $2.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.982 | $4.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.920 | $4.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.887 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.870 | $2.92 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 29?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.920 | $4.9 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.965 | $1.85 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.900 | $3.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.870 | $1.46 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.948 | $4.21 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.983 | $2.8 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.968 | $5.43 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 3.22K | $0.997 | $3.21K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.997 | $1.11K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.997 | $1.1K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 14?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.999 | $2.09K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.92 | $0.230 | $1.13 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 3.22K | $0.999 | $3.22K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 999.98 | $0.994 | $993.98 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.992 | $128.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.999 | $3.2K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.890 | $4.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.960 | $3.48 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.968 | $3.96 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.946 | $2.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.984 | $4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.2 | $0.891 | $5.52 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 7.67 | $0.860 | $6.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 5?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.850 | $6.89 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.730 | $4.83 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.961 | $5.04 | Mar 2, 2026 |