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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.889 | $44.45 | Jan 8, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 160 |
| $0.130 |
| $20.8 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 595.74 | $0.398 | $237.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.330 | $29.7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5K | $0.003 | $37.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5K | $0.003 | $37.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 41.12 | $0.500 | $20.56 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 25?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.095 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.580 | $60 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 36.21 | $0.580 | $21 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 109.69 | $0.429 | $47.02 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 32.99 | $0.332 | $10.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.305 | $20.41 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.863 | $86.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 276.42 | $0.018 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.891 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?No | buy | 101.21 | $0.988 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12PM ETUp | buy | 30.84 | $0.050 | $1.54 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?Up | buy | 28.26 | $0.460 | $13 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12PM ETUp | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12PM ETUp | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11AM ETDown | sell | 106.33 | $0.173 | $18.43 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11AM ETDown | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11AM ETDown | buy | 39.67 | $0.126 | $5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?Up | buy | 99.05 | $0.202 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?Down | buy | 265.41 | $0.486 | $129 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?Down | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 430.13 | $0.994 | $427.55 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 430.13 | $0.995 | $427.98 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?Up | sell | 62.5 | $0.540 | $33.75 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?Up | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?No | buy | 100.31 | $0.997 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 10?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $180 November 3-9?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $130 November 3-9?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 394.32 | $0.203 | $80 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Dolphins vs. BrownsBrowns | buy | 40.52 | $0.987 | $40 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 19?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.990 | $45 | Oct 19, 2025 |