Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?

Name: Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.9M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	897.78K	0.0%	$0
funding	Yes	49.99K	0.2%	$99.99
WaveCut	Yes	22.52K	0.4%	$100
aureli	Yes	21.55K	0.0%	$0
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	15.09K	0.0%	$0	Dec 29, 3:34 AM UTC
Cookedtan	Yes	10.02K	0.0%	$0
TonerCartridge	Yes	9.08K	0.3%	$31.65
qqqq88888	Yes	8.5K	0.3%	$21.34	Dec 28, 1:09 AM UTC
Honorable-Drawing	Yes	8.27K	0.7%	$54.93
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	7.89K	0.0%	$0
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	7.65K	0.0%	$0
montty	Yes	5.88K	0.0%	$0
tomigesa	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
xdduwu	Yes	3.8K	0.3%	$12.18
untaken	Yes	3.7K	0.0%	$0
Siziriv	Yes	3.51K	3.1%	$109.58	Dec 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Reflecting-Cellar	Yes	3.2K	0.2%	$7.2
shine	Yes	2.82K	0.0%	$0
PolakZPolski	Yes	2.8K	0.4%	$10
JohnnyTenNumbers	Yes	2.76K	3.1%	$86.09
bloodiris	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
RobXK	Yes	2.25K	0.0%	$0
acal	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2.59
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.96K	0.1%	$1.96
NoMoreMister	Yes	1.85K	0.0%	$0
caaashew	Yes	1.53K	0.4%	$6
Formal-Jackal	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
VivianWard	Yes	1.26K	0.0%	$0
Violet Summit 602C	Yes	1.14K	0.3%	$3.54
Buoyant-Jaw	Yes	1.05K	0.5%	$5
Cajetan	Yes	954.63	0.0%	$0
eieio	Yes	907.65	3.9%	$35.64
EdwardLewis	Yes	874.48	0.0%	$0
JoE	Yes	761.15	0.0%	$0
IvanCD	Yes	660.48	0.8%	$5
heyibiaozi	Yes	610	0.2%	$1.22
tailevent	Yes	600	0.1%	$0.6
lettuce	Yes	514.06	0.0%	$0
cobaltv	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Unwelcome-Iris	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
HzPredicts	Yes	450	3.1%	$14.06
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	423.99	0.1%	$0.42
TheCoder	Yes	410.33	0.2%	$1	Dec 29, 7:46 PM UTC
xdx2k7	Yes	406.22	0.2%	$1
flx420	Yes	400	0.3%	$1.2
quyunpeng	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
user6969	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
wudideming	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
jiggawatts	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	323	0.1%	$0.32
Ploppy	Yes	285.26	5.8%	$16.47
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	250	0.0%	$0
Sweltering-Preface	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Frizzy-Electricity	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Cobalt Harbor 98E6	Yes	243	0.3%	$0.7
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	238	0.1%	$0.24
k1tten	Yes	230	0.0%	$0
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	226.99	0.1%	$0.23
power1337	Yes	219.3	0.1%	$0.22
moon-k58-lad	Yes	166.02	0.0%	$0
rrss	No	147.51	99.7%	$147.1
retelev	Yes	130	0.0%	$0
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	129	0.1%	$0.13
Kkhhjfjdk	Yes	111.93	0.2%	$0.22
Threek	Yes	110	0.0%	$0
karagiorgio	Yes	100	1.2%	$1.2
Deafening-Possible	Yes	98	0.1%	$0.1
itsjustcheddar	Yes	97	0.0%	$0
MakerOne	Yes	90	0.0%	$0
awisechoice	Yes	85.26	5.2%	$4.44
IdiotDoomSpiral	Yes	60	0.0%	$0
Shipoo	Yes	44.73	0.1%	$0.04
Yukaii	Yes	41.4	0.1%	$0.04
235623451	Yes	32.52	0.0%	$0
Schowtrader	Yes	20.36	0.0%	$0
jjej	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
RLY	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
lllennn	Yes	20	3.2%	$0.63
Solar Meteor 7A9A	Yes	18	0.1%	$0.02
rocketcrypto	Yes	15	1.0%	$0.15
triklozoid	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
backpackk	Yes	13.54	0.3%	$0.04
Axiel	No	13.51	99.9%	$13.5
sedroijm	No	10.44	99.9%	$10.43
niuniubaby	No	10.34	99.9%	$10.33
AsuraSmellsLikeASS	Yes	9.98	0.1%	$0.01
Jaxenor	No	7.11	99.8%	$7.1
hhui	No	5.4	99.9%	$5.39
bjprolo	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
ResolutionPending	Yes	5	0.6%	$0.03
Quantentunnel	Yes	5	5.6%	$0.28
MakeMeLuff	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
yuin	No	2.36	99.9%	$2.36
zsa66	No	1.56	99.9%	$1.56
nanamin	No	1.48	99.7%	$1.48
bbio	No	1.35	99.9%	$1.34
Jade Comet 8A02	No	1.34	99.9%	$1.34
zsd589	No	1.24	99.9%	$1.24
deezytrading	Yes	1.03	6.1%	$0.06
rated	Yes	0.85	6.2%	$0.05
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	0.78	0.2%	$0

101 of 101 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$897.78K
rrss	$147.51
Axiel	$13.51

Analytics