Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Hell" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 90 |
| $0.350 |
| $31.5 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden 7+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 130 | $0.310 | $40.3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Tonight Show on December 8?No | buy | 19.46 | $0.920 | $17.9 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?No | buy | 120 | $0.344 | $41.3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 771.79 | $0.080 | $61.74 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Yes | buy | 294.61 | $0.260 | $76.6 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.08K | $0.003 | $31.66 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 887.18 | $0.179 | $159.15 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?No | buy | 626.92 | $0.001 | $0.63 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "107 Days" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 521.27 | $0.200 | $104.25 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "107 Days" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 350.66 | $0.149 | $52.42 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest country" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.398 | $47.76 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "FBI" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?No | buy | 81 | $0.521 | $42.22 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?No | sell | 41.58 | $0.610 | $25.36 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.440 | $39.6 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Yes | sell | 156.49 | $0.050 | $7.82 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.030 | $15.16 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.219 | $39.5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.051 | $2.06 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 309.99 | $0.191 | $59.3 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.357 | $78.59 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.090 | $23.4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.090 | $8.1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 109.99 | $0.580 | $63.79 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Nazist" this week? (September 15-21)No | buy | 19.19 | $0.490 | $9.4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.228 | $4.78 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.183 | $9.15 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Palestine" during September?No | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 70.5 | $0.600 | $42.3 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 7.6K | $0.003 | $22.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 129.98 | $0.060 | $7.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Gun" or "Shooter" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.280 | $22.4 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Catholic" or "Muslim" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?No | buy | 80 | $0.400 | $32 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Border" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "ICE" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | sell | 6.76 | $0.020 | $0.14 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "ICE" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.620 | $4.19 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 10+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.685 | $7.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 10+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.647 | $7.19 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 235.04 | $0.094 | $22.15 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 8+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?No | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 8+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?No | buy | 60 | $0.349 | $20.95 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.480 | $2.8 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 113.07 | $0.022 | $2.49 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 0.86 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 738.72 | $0.061 | $44.78 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | sell | 90 | $0.990 | $89.1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Rigged" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | buy | 12 | $0.890 | $10.68 | Sep 1, 2025 |