Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 2.3 points from 2.3% when the market opened on 10 Apr 2026.
Across the 194 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.8% on 12 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.
Vitinha ranks 13th of the 31 outcomes in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”. Harry Kane leads at 70.5%; Kylian Mbappé is at 17.6%.
$5K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $958.59K since listing. The order book holds $1.26M, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $114.44 bought Yes and $12.03K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JustCrazy with 351.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.36M. Ten wallets hold 77.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 10 Apr 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2026 | 2.3% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.36M |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 351.28K |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 224.59K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
18 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 159.75K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 134.38K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 120.64K |
| kneelbeforetheking | Yes | 89.96K |
| donthackme | Yes | 82.23K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 82.19K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 68.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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