Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 21 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2026 to 25 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.7% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 83.5% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 97.6% on 22 Sep 2026. $33.36K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 9:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2026 | 83.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.27K |
| Weird-Endoderm | No | 873.53 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 732 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share
| No |
| 483.72 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 251.2 |
| lissartter | No | 175.94 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 152.54 |
| Ardtysrt01 | No | 119.83 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 60 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
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