Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.3%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 13 Aug 2026, the highest close was 70% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 16 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 36.5% on 20 Jun 2026. $3.94K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 27 May 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 4.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 503.37 |
| RewardsMafia | Yes | 88.03 |
| Indigo Lynx C16C | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-qoq
| Yes |
| 29.99 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
| vale.glez | Yes | 19.23 |
| billygod | Yes | 17.62 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 8 |
| ganjubas22 | Yes | 7.43 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
