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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.73K | $0.866 | $46K | +$2.92K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.755 | $3.78 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.55K |
| $0.872 |
| $19.42K |
| +$1.5K |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 14.84K | $0.753 | $10.03K | -$1.15K |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 11.12K | $0.844 | $9.02K | -$358.44 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 7.57K | $0.923 | $6.72K | -$267.23 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 6.57K | $0.845 | $5.98K | +$427.21 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 11.39K | $0.519 | $5.18K | -$729.95 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.66K | $0.804 | $3.21K | +$261.19 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 2.78K | $0.952 | $2.6K | -$49.77 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.51K | $0.360 | $1.88K | +$613.81 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | No | 838.32 | $0.687 | $741.91 | +$165.76 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 790.03 | $0.859 | $712.61 | +$34.22 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.95K | $0.180 | $493.54 | -$217.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 369.06 | $0.880 | $345.07 | +$20.3 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 564.94 | $0.337 | $299.42 | +$109.14 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 632.8 | $0.750 | $297.42 | -$177.18 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 555.67 | $0.370 | $294.51 | +$88.91 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 378.78 | $0.660 | $178.03 | -$71.97 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | No | 76.84 | $0.610 | $37.15 | -$9.72 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | Yes | 712.3 | $0.276 | $14.25 | -$182.1 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 28.98 | $0.460 | $6.81 | -$6.52 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | Yes | 333.76 | $0.220 | $0.83 | -$72.59 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1 | $0.690 | $0.48 | -$0.22 |
| sell |
| 1.44K |
| $0.072 |
| $103.58 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 337.83 | $0.738 | $249.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 299.92 | $0.750 | $224.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 714.28 | $0.311 | $222.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 5.75K | $0.155 | $891.14 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 3.73K | $0.170 | $634.46 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.140 | $205.88 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.360 | $1K | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?No | buy | 11.88 | $0.880 | $10.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?Yes | buy | 153.55 | $0.310 | $47.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?No | buy | 297.61 | $0.840 | $249.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.780 | $240.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?No | buy | 347.22 | $0.670 | $232.64 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 164.38 | $0.136 | $22.29 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | buy | 269.4 | $0.310 | $83.51 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 57.37 | $0.720 | $41.31 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?No | buy | 271.18 | $0.280 | $75.93 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?No | buy | 24.71 | $0.790 | $19.52 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?No | buy | 304.87 | $0.817 | $249.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Yes | buy | 872 | $0.187 | $163.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No | buy | 150 | $0.610 | $91.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals | sell | 40.05 | $0.420 | $16.82 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 234.51 | $0.938 | $220.03 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 299.48 | $0.640 | $191.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 217.97 | $0.958 | $208.82 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.619 | $1.35K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 310.2 | $0.910 | $282.28 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 215.49 | $0.830 | $178.86 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.965 | $1.36K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.700 | $1.12K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 666.93 | $0.830 | $553.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.100 | $250 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 17.6 | $0.630 | $11.09 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 38.03 | $0.890 | $33.85 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 47.59 | $0.180 | $8.57 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Austria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.021 | $23.24 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 88.16 | $0.150 | $13.22 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.480 | $33.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers | sell | 242.75 | $0.620 | $150.51 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI | sell | 63.81 | $0.480 | $30.63 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHULIGANI | sell | 420.06 | $0.490 | $205.83 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.560 | $1.14K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.400 | $513.61 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 259.52 | $0.590 | $153.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 167.57 | $0.360 | $60.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.290 | $21.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |