What is the “Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Ohio in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 12.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S.…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($132.89K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$58.25K
No buy at 99.5%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Dec 3, 12:00 AM UTC
Vultax loaded 22 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 98.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 4, 7:59 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-win-ohio-by-12-points) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
