Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 1.06 | $0.985 | $1.04 | Nov 10, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.985 |
| $1.01 |
| Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.986 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Perez | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.976 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 0.01 | $0.976 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 JD Vance positive favorability before the election?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.945 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.976 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Perez | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.04 | $0.969 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.905 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| JD Vance positive favorability before the election?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.986 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.993 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Solana above $170 on November 8?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.995 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.943 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.976 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Perez | buy | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.04 | $0.969 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.905 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will LSDP win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.050 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.710 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Daniel Chapo win the Mozambican presidential election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.997 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.920 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.977 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.650 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.640 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.998 | $0.03 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.180 | $0.01 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11.81K | $0.003 | $35.43 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.81K | $0.004 | $47.24 | Oct 7, 2024 |