Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 150 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 24 Apr 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 21 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 17.5% on 24 Apr 2026. $44.43K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 12:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 24 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 37.5% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.07K |
| hellojosh | Yes | 932.26 |
| JuliusNakamoto | Yes | 919.39 |
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026
| Bsau4 | Yes | 515.87 |
| Jamwayne | Yes | 424.47 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 326.52 |
| Dr.Fechtjohann | Yes | 310.89 |
| oak | Yes | 283 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 250 |
| sirmisterk | Yes | 180 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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