Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 22% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 19 Jul 2025, the highest close was 22% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 19 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 11% on 13 Jul 2025. $3.19K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 19 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 22.0% |
| 19 Jul 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Organic-Blowhole | Yes | 79.8 |
| lissartter | Yes | 39.99 |
| tyl88 | Yes | 25 |
| Narcoins | Yes | 20.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 12, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-12-july-18
| Mountainous-Economics | Yes | 20 |
| Jacob2046 | Yes | 20 |
| S888 | Yes | 19.02 |
| SanchoDeGringo | Yes | 8.33 |
| just1betbro | Yes | 7.14 |
| DylanMazarura | Yes | 7.14 |
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