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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.001 | $1.57 | Nov 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 828.25 |
| $0.007 |
| $6 |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 991.8 | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 814.17 | $0.030 | $24.2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 250.14 | $0.034 | $8.5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bagram" this week? (September 22-28)Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.640 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.081 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.081 | $3 | Sep 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 269.05 | $0.021 | $5.65 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.030 | $3.57 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.065 | $2.08 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will JD Vance say Trans/Transgender 3+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?Yes | buy | 55.11 | $0.276 | $15.23 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 95.23 | $0.160 | $15.24 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 338.33 | $0.006 | $2.03 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 224.39 | $0.009 | $2.02 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.008 | $10 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.082 | $2 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.082 | $16.4 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Yes | sell | 302.41 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 622.53 | $0.005 | $3 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 205.7 | $0.019 | $4 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 399.45 | $0.009 | $3.78 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.41 | $0.076 | $2.54 | Aug 28, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Yes | sell | 208 | $0.006 | $1.25 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 284.44 | $0.009 | $2.56 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.043 | $10 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 133.41 | $0.109 | $14.55 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 137.23 | $0.117 | $15.99 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will $YZY hit $10B FDV by Friday?Yes | buy | 632.17 | $0.006 | $4 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 129.59 | $0.193 | $25 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Yes | buy | 222.42 | $0.013 | $2.8 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 60.38 | $0.078 | $4.71 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?Yes | sell | 277 | $0.017 | $4.71 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.078 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 202.4 | $0.049 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?Yes | buy | 277 | $0.070 | $19.39 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.160 | $17.39 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?Yes | buy | 421.05 | $0.019 | $8 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Yes | buy | 172.69 | $0.026 | $4.49 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | sell | 150.4 | $0.123 | $18.55 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.125 | $6.25 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.127 | $14.64 | Aug 13, 2025 |