Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 27 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 65% on 3 Dec 2025. $72.15K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 27 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vankob | No | 2.59K |
| VicCap | No | 1.66K |
| Doting-Negligee | No | 1.45K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/measles-cases-in-us-in-2026
| TENETENET | No | 499.98 |
| Squiggly-Midcourse | No | 297.5 |
| ttj01 | No | 249.97 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
| 0x152 | No | 30 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
| paas2 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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