Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.6%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 6 Jun 2025, the highest close was 41% on 28 May 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 21.7% on 5 Jun 2025. $33.7K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 4:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 3 May 2025 – 6 Jun 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 25.5% |
| 6 Jun 2025 | 27.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.25K |
| blacklotus | Yes | 60 |
| costcostaff01 | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2025, scheduled to be released on June 6, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-may-698
| No |
| 0.01 |
| Razirback | Yes | 0.01 |
| twark | No | 0.01 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.01 |
| caroline.name | No | 0.01 |
| trump.imp | No | 0.01 |
| borogrid | No | 0.01 |
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