Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the highest close was 38% on 29 Jul 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 31.5% on 30 Jul 2025. $49.32K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 29 Jul 2025 – 5 Sep 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 38.0% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25.85K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 3.4K |
| puravida | Yes | 2.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2025, scheduled to be released on September 5, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-august-643
| Yes |
| 770 |
| heuer | Yes | 449.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 246 |
| pako | Yes | 100 |
| lineth | Yes | 77 |
| stinkyracoon | Yes | 66.67 |
| G280 | Yes | 50 |
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