Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 33% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 4.7% on 5 Sep 2026. $169.18K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 22.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 92.34K |
| arbandy | Yes | 17.72K |
| balthazar | Yes | 5.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spider-man-brand-new-day-total-domestic-gross-by-september-30
| Yes |
| 5.32K |
| fouc | Yes | 3.62K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 3.62K |
| Multicolored-Waterfall | Yes | 3.33K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 2.65K |
| Mithrandir. | Yes | 2.45K |
| Hourglass | Yes | 2.3K |
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