Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 27 points from 34.5% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 34.5% on 19 Jul 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?”.
$3.96K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $592.23, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $71.14 bought Yes and $1.26K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Oklmntrader with 340 shares; the largest No position is SiliconBets with 703.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 10:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 34.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SiliconBets | No | 703.05 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 340 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 161.39 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-december-31-20260630144618248
| thecaricature |
| Yes |
| 80 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 51 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | Yes | 50 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 50 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 45 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| PPMT | Yes | 7.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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