Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 33 points from 51% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 114 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 14 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 21% on 3 Jul 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?”.
$896.35 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $370.1, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 70 shares; the largest No position is CircuitBoardA with 293.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 10:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 114 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CircuitBoardA | No | 292.7 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 69.99 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 60 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-december-31-20260630144618248
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 51.7 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 51 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| dve3 | Yes | 20 |
| xiaoyanyan2 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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