Analytics
Yes is at 40%, up 13 points from 27% when the market opened on 16 Dec 2025.
Across the 292 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8% on 28 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23%; a month before, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 11.5% on 26 Aug 2026.
<22 is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?”, ahead of 22–23 at 33%.
$125 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $54.53K since listing. The order book holds $25.66K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $16.51K bought No; the largest was a $1.79K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 563 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 292 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 27.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 562.77 |
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 536.36 |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 391.91 |
| whispercatalyst | Yes | 361.32 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 243.69 |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 228.61 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 177.08 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 166.08 |
| Violet Pulse 3039 | No | 145.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
