Analytics
Yes is at 0.8%, down 14 points from 15% when the market opened on 16 Dec 2025.
Across the 287 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.1% on 11 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 20.1% on 11 Aug 2026.
30–31 ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?”. <22 leads at 40%; 22–23 is at 32.5%.
$9.03K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.21K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 269 trades, $33.78 bought Yes and $2.6K bought No.
The largest Yes position is wing1234 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| wing1234 | Yes | 1.08K |
| gopfan2 | No | 789.68 |
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 624.42 |
| Radiant-Dahlia | Yes | 241.24 |
| mymacbook | Yes | 168.84 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 166.08 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | Yes | 153.79 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 152.69 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 149.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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