Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 23 points from 25% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 8.5% on 12 Oct 2026.
$419K - $423K ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?”. $403K - $407K leads at 38%; $407K - $411K is at 38%.
$4.91K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $773.94, with a 3.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $295.61 bought Yes and $1.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 359 shares; the largest No position is DerDon with 471. Ten wallets hold 92.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DerDon | No | 471.34 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 372.23 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 358.91 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31
| Haradwaith | Yes | 118.9 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 110.75 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 67.69 |
| yrnmv | Yes | 40 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 20.53 |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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